Today I played in the Sunday Million ($1.5 Million Guarantee) tournament on PokerStars as well a number of other qualifiers and guarantees. My run of bad luck today was just nasty. I know it is apart of poker to loose occasionally with AK to a lower Ax but statistically I am a 71% favorite with a 4.5% chance to tie. I lost these showdowns 4 times most of the time in a critical spot for my tournament life. Then in the $1.5 MM tourny I was playing well and got my AA cracked to 99 there I am an 80% favorite. I was busted out of a few other tournaments with a higher pair losing to a lower one. I know it should balance out in the long run but for a guy trying to build a bank roll it hurts. I am making great calls and getting my money in with the best hand but the cards are not dealing true.
I have been using Poker Copilot 2 for the Mac to track my playing statistics. I tried PokerTracker 3 for the Mac which had a lot of great features but kept on crashing so I switched. With the all in equity chart from Poker Copilot above it shows my bad run statistically based on expected winnings and actual winnings. The orange line is the expected value when all in and the blue is the actual outcome. When the blue line is below the orange line in the short run it indicates a bad run. BOOOOOO.
Until next Sunday…
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{ 3 comments }
wait does this mean you've lost over 150 grand?
- Misha
PS: what plugin are you using for comments? or is this part of thesis theme?
HAHA no this is a chart of tournament chips for all tournaments for the day so I lost about 150K in tournament chips and played about 30 tournys starting chips range from 500 to 10000. Played well just bad day
I am using the Disqus plugin for comments.
thx for the tip; now using it on our site
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